July 3, 2024

Dana Brown

Astros Predicted to Trade $100 Million 2-Time All-Star in Early ‘Overreaction’

The Houston Astros have been one of MLB’s most consistent playoff contenders, reaching the postseason in each of the last seven seasons and taking home the World Series championship twice in that span.

But after a four-and-seven start to the 2024 season, Chad Jennings, Andy McCullough and Stephen J. Nesbitt of The Athletic offered an “early-season overreaction” for the Astros by predicting that the team will trade star third-baseman Alex Bregman by the All-Star break.

Dana Brown

“The Astros certainly expected to win more than four of their first 11 games, and they surely thought they’d get some of those wins on the strength of their offense,” they wrote. “They were swept by the (New York) Yankees on Opening Weekend, then lost two of three to the (Texas) Rangers last weekend, renewing questions about their pitching depth and making Jose Abreau’s struggles even harder to ignore.”

Dana Brown
If the Houston Astros Become Sellers, Alex Bregman Is a Compelling Trade Chip
Bregman’s value makes him a likely trade chip if the Astros become sellers by midseason. He is also in the final season of a five-year, $100 million deal with the team and is likely to warrant another massive contract in an extension. That might ultimately be too much for the Astros to stomach, particularly as other members of their core will be due for paydays as well.

“Eight years at $30 million a pop could be what it takes to get (agent Scott) Boras and Bregman to pass up free agency after the season,” Mike Axisa projected for CBS Sports. “Should the Astros do it? Kyle Tucker and Framber Valdez are both two years away from free agency, so the Astros have to start thinking about extensions for them too.”

Dana Brown
Rather than see Bregman sign with another team in free agency, the Astros may decide they would get their best return by dealing him to a contender. There are certain to be offers, as Bregman is two-time All-Star at a premium defensive position, with a career slash line of .274/.372/.485 and 165 homers in nine seasons.

He’s earned MVP votes in four different seasons, including 2022 and 2023, and was a Silver Slugger in 2019. Ultimately, he would be one of the most compelling third basemen on the market if he’s put on the trading block.

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